Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2267
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2267 · SFO → LAX
departs 4:39 PM PT · arrives 6:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±10 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.