Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2310 · RSW → LGA
departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at RSW that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.81 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.