Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2358 · ORD → DTW
departs 5:18 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 31%
Thu 11/5 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.