Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2424 · DTW → TVC
departs 10:59 PM ET · arrives 12:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 24%
Fri 11/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.