Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2447
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2447 · SEA → PHX
departs 8:30 PM PT · arrives 12:33 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.