Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2457
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2457 · LAX → PDX
departs 8:00 PM PT · arrives 10:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.