Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2459 · PDX → LAX
departs 8:00 PM PT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at PDX that day
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 2 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.