Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2503 · ORD → LGA
departs 8:10 PM CT · arrives 11:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 30%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.