Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2609 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 2609 · DTW → EWR

departs 9:40 PM ET · arrives 11:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

EWR (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2609 · DTW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?