Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2616
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2616 · LAX → SEA
departs 9:15 PM PT · arrives 12:03 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.