Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2653 · LAX → LAS
departs 9:25 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±11 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at LAS that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.