Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2738
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2738 · ORD → ATL
departs 6:06 PM CT · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 27%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.