Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2786 · CMH → ATL
departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 8:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.