Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2807
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2807 · ATL → PNS
departs 11:28 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.