Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2880
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2880 · LAS → SEA
departs 4:05 PM PT · arrives 6:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 30%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LAS that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.19 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.