Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 3022 · ATL → HSV
departs 11:00 PM ET · arrives 11:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 13%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 13%
Thu 11/5 20%
Fri 11/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HSV that day
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
HSV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.