Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 3053 · ECP → ATL
departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 8:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.44 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.