Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 3071 · ATL → AVL
departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 9:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 17%
Wed 11/4 18%
Thu 11/5 24%
Fri 11/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.