Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3178
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 3178 · ATL → GPT
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 10:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 14%
Tue 11/3 11%
Wed 11/4 13%
Thu 11/5 18%
Fri 11/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at GPT that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
GPT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.