Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3180
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 3180 · JAN → ATL
departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 9:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave JAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at JAN that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
JAN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.20 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.