Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 420 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 420 · LAX → DFW

departs 6:53 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.29 in

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 420 · LAX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?