Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 427 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 427 · HNL → LAX

departs 12:07 PM HT · arrives 7:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 427 · HNL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?