Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 544 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±11 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 544 · DTW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?