Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 565 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 565 · DTW → SEA

departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 565 · DTW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?