Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 681 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 681 · ATL → SFO

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 681 · ATL → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?