Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 718 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 718 · LAX → MCO

departs 3:43 PM PT · arrives 11:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.30 in

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 718 · LAX → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?