Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8862 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 8862 · DTW → GRB

departs 9:28 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRB?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,583 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8862 · DTW → GRB

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRB?