Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8865
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 8865 · LAS → LAX
departs 6:27 PM PT · arrives 7:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±10 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is prone to delays
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.