Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8868
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 8868 · TPA → ATL
departs 8:27 PM ET · arrives 10:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±10 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.54 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.