Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 8889 · MKE → PIE
departs 11:32 AM CT · arrives 3:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at PIE that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,867 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.