Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

DL 8928 · OKC → LAX

departs 10:02 PM CT · arrives 11:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

↓ 10pm departures from OKC are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8928 · OKC → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?