Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 8939 · PHX → OKC
departs 2:02 PM MT · arrives 5:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±10 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
2pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at OKC that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.80 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.