Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 922 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 922 · ANC → SEA

departs 2:12 PM AKT · arrives 6:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 922 · ANC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?