Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576 LANDED 12:15 AM CT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 1 Today

MQ 3576 · CLE → ORD

took off 12:18 AM ET · landed 12:15 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3576 · CLE → ORD

Odds over time