OO 3717 · TUS → SLC

took off 5:48 PM MT · landed 7:15 PM MT (scheduled 5:26 PM MT → 7:20 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at TUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ TUS usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.26 in

SLC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3717 · TUS → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?