OO 4733 · BOI → SFO

took off 12:29 PM MT · landed 12:47 PM PT (scheduled 11:55 AM MT → 12:58 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±6 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ BOI usually runs smoothly

↓ 11am departures from BOI are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.23 in

SFO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4733 · BOI → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?