Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5583
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
OO 5583 · SFO → RNO
departs 4:35 PM PT · arrives 5:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Cloud base down to 1,467 ft forecast at RNO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.