Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5820
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
OO 5820 · LAX → SMF
departs 1:19 PM PT · arrives 2:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 14%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 19%
Fri 11/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.32 in
SMF (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.