Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
OO 6044 · SFO → MFR
departs 8:49 PM PT · arrives 10:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Thu 11/5 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
SFO is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.