Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2123 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

UA 2123 · BNA → DEN

departs 5:29 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.58 in

DEN (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2123 · BNA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?