Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2130 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

UA 2130 · GTF → DEN

departs 2:51 PM MT · arrives 4:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at GTF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ GTF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GTF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.11 in

DEN (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2130 · GTF → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?