UA 881 · ORD → HND

took off 1:49 PM CT · expected to land 4:53 PM JST (scheduled 1:15 PM CT → 5:48 PM JST)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HND?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HND

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.07 in

HND (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 881 · ORD → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?