Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 96 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:40 AM PT, ETA 6:35 AM AEST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 1 Today

UA 96 · SFO → BNE

took off 12:40 AM PT · expected to land 6:35 AM AEST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at BNE more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BNE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.24 in

BNE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 96 · SFO → BNE

Odds over time