Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1035 · LAS → SAT
departs 2:46 PM PT · arrives 7:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.