Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1152 · LAS → STL
departs 1:41 PM PT · arrives 7:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31 47%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.19 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1.53333 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.