WN 1155 · DEN → PHX

took off 8:37 AM MT · landed 10:38 AM MT (scheduled 8:26 AM MT → 10:25 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

PHX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1155 · DEN → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?