Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1201 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

WN 1201 · ATL → CMH

departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 6:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1201 · ATL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?