WN 1219 · CLE → MDW

took off 12:40 PM ET · expected to land 12:29 PM CT (scheduled 12:31 PM ET → 1:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from CLE are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1219 · CLE → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?