Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1241
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1241 · ABQ → LAX
departs 8:46 PM MT · arrives 9:49 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±13 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.41 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.