Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1288 · LAS → FAT
departs 3:36 PM PT · arrives 4:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.